Tuesday, June 15, 2010

Interest rates

For instance, the traditional income stream from commercial banks is to borrow cheap ( at the low overnight rate, i.e., the rate at which they pay depositors) and lend expensive (at the long-term rate, which is usually higher than the short-term rate).

This works with an upward-sloping yield curve, but it loses money if the curve becomes inverted. Many investment banks, such as Bear Stearns, have failed because they borrowed cheap short-term money to fund higher interest bearing long-term positions. When the long-term positions default, or the short-term money dries up, the bank cannot meet its short-term liabilities and goes under.

According to a popular anecdote, traditional commercial banking was characterized as a "3-6-3" business: borrow at 3%, lend at 6% (thus earning the 3% spread), be on the golf course by 3 pm.While this may have been close to the truth in the market of the 1950s to the 1970s, the modern competitive market ensures that profits are kept more in line with perceived risks.

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